take19 - TAKEN!!!

A new independent poll conducted by Majority Watch shows that Sue Kelly may soon have plenty of free time to spend being a "wife, mother and grandmother" as she indignantly shouted the other day. This new poll shows that John Hall is leading Kelly 49% to 40%. The crosstabs (pdf) are given and can be evaluated by those wanting the data -- it just shows that this race is one to look at. There's also these numbers from the latest NBC/WSJ poll, which while not local, show that the public thinks Congress is doing a lousy job.

Now, a few weeks ago, before Sue's ties to former Congressman Mark Foley were clear, John Hall released an internal poll that showed him and Kelly running neck and neck, with Kelly at 49% to Hall's 45%. But as this story in the Times Herald Record noted, Kelly's folks didn't give the poll much credence because it wasn't independent. Kelly spokesman Jay Townsend said of the poll results: "No independent source has released anything close to this. It is at variance with what we've done internally."

How will Jay spin this one? Post your guesses in the comment section.