Monday, February 13, 2006
The 2006 Congressional Election: By the Numbers
I know this is a site dedicated to removing the ineffective and damaging representation of Sue Kelly from Washington, but Bloomberg has an interesting article about how the national race is shaping up, which does have inplications on the local level. More on that after the quote.
They cite some national poll numbers (they don't look good for Republicans) and they print a GOP spin-a-whirl response.
Disapproving Bush
A poll this month by the Pew Center for People and the Press found 50 percent of registered voters planning to vote Democratic this fall, with 41 percent intending to vote Republican. The Feb. 1-5 survey of 1,502 adults had a margin of error of 4 percentage points. Respondents to an NBC-Wall Street Journal poll preferred a Democratic Congress by a margin of 47 percent to 38 percent. The Jan. 26-29 poll of 1,011 adults had a margin of error of 3.1 percentage points.
Forti of the Republican congressional committee said voters aren't going to oust their House members merely because they belong to the same party as an indicted lawmaker.
"They're voting for a person they've developed a relationship with over the years," Forti said. "Democrats have to make an argument on why that person needs to be fired beyond the fact that they're a Republican."
A poll this month by the Pew Center for People and the Press found 50 percent of registered voters planning to vote Democratic this fall, with 41 percent intending to vote Republican. The Feb. 1-5 survey of 1,502 adults had a margin of error of 4 percentage points. Respondents to an NBC-Wall Street Journal poll preferred a Democratic Congress by a margin of 47 percent to 38 percent. The Jan. 26-29 poll of 1,011 adults had a margin of error of 3.1 percentage points.
Forti of the Republican congressional committee said voters aren't going to oust their House members merely because they belong to the same party as an indicted lawmaker.
"They're voting for a person they've developed a relationship with over the years," Forti said. "Democrats have to make an argument on why that person needs to be fired beyond the fact that they're a Republican."
Here's where it gets local:
So, we "aren't going to oust their House members merely because they belong to the same party as an indicted lawmaker."
Well, would we oust our House member if they accepted buckets of cash from the indicted lawmaker, voted lock-step to do the indicted lawmaker's bidding and refuse to return the money when the indicted lawmaker gets...well...indicted for money laundering, of all things?
And as far "Democrats have to make an argument on why that person needs to be fired beyond the fact that they're a Republican," goes, I'll challenge you to make a few arguments as to why our Republican needs to be fired.
Anyone care to begin?
Comments:
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First:
"You guys are unbelieveable." Thanks. You're not so bad yourself.
Second, Saddam Hussein hasn't been convicted of anything, but I wouldn't want to take money from him either.
Third. I did complain when BC (who was never convicted of anything, BTW) was reported to have gotten $ from China.
You see, Mr. GOP, I'm against ALL PAC MONEY. I'm for clean elections, verifyable voting proceedures and subsidized campaigns to get ALL money out of politics. PERIOD. Let people run and govern on ideas and ability, not money and cronyism.
But all this is off point.
This isn't about Clinton, Hussein, you or me. It's about saving New York's 19th district, of which you are not a constituent.
So, for the final time, if you are happy about the way things are going and trust that GOP one party rule is good for the country and the world, keep voting for more of the status quo. If people want to change our course, do something about it and support change.
My Best and Good Luck,
NYBri
"You guys are unbelieveable." Thanks. You're not so bad yourself.
Second, Saddam Hussein hasn't been convicted of anything, but I wouldn't want to take money from him either.
Third. I did complain when BC (who was never convicted of anything, BTW) was reported to have gotten $ from China.
You see, Mr. GOP, I'm against ALL PAC MONEY. I'm for clean elections, verifyable voting proceedures and subsidized campaigns to get ALL money out of politics. PERIOD. Let people run and govern on ideas and ability, not money and cronyism.
But all this is off point.
This isn't about Clinton, Hussein, you or me. It's about saving New York's 19th district, of which you are not a constituent.
So, for the final time, if you are happy about the way things are going and trust that GOP one party rule is good for the country and the world, keep voting for more of the status quo. If people want to change our course, do something about it and support change.
My Best and Good Luck,
NYBri
Mr. GOP-I sure hope that the rest of the Republican Party takes a cue from you and decides that lining up behind the great "bug killer" is the way to go in November. TD is done.
Only thing that can keep the Democratic Party from big gains in November is the party iteself. Having Howard Dean, Nancy P. and Harry R. as the primary spokespeople is a disaster waiting to happen. Hopefully, some real leaders step up and take control from these clowns.
The party should campaign on a few basic issues: 1) Competent government, we haven't had it and its about time we did; 2) Honest government, stop the PAC money, stop worrying about what interest groups that don't represent most people and do what's right; 3) Fair government, everybody gets a fair shake, not just monied corporate interests; 4)Responsible government, there are big financial problems coming and its going to take a fairer tax system and spending restraint to deal with it.
Only thing that can keep the Democratic Party from big gains in November is the party iteself. Having Howard Dean, Nancy P. and Harry R. as the primary spokespeople is a disaster waiting to happen. Hopefully, some real leaders step up and take control from these clowns.
The party should campaign on a few basic issues: 1) Competent government, we haven't had it and its about time we did; 2) Honest government, stop the PAC money, stop worrying about what interest groups that don't represent most people and do what's right; 3) Fair government, everybody gets a fair shake, not just monied corporate interests; 4)Responsible government, there are big financial problems coming and its going to take a fairer tax system and spending restraint to deal with it.
# posted by 
: 10:46 AM
: 10:46 AM
Mr. GOP had this in HIS blog...
"The 19th Congressional District has overwhemingly voted for Republicans in the past for many reasons. Republicans as a whole believe in smaller government, lower taxes, national defense, and common sense."
Hmm, then why has the size of government actually grown in the last 6 years? (Unless by size of gov't, you actually mean controls on corporate malfeasance...) Lower taxes, well, yeah, a few hundred in a rebate, while Bill Gates and Paris Hilton get MAJOR rollbacks in their tax liability. They don't live in the 19th, although George Soros does. Guess what, he thinks the tax cuts are stupid, too. And $9B in givebacks to oil companies drilling for oil and making record profits on PUBLIC land? National defense- Blame it all on Clinton all you want, but 9/11 happened on W's watch, as did Katrina. George sat on his butt in a classroom during the first, and gave a fundraising speech and played the guitar in the second. I guess you didn't notice that the latest defense budget cuts spending on the troops themselves (which Sue voted FOR, to keep it on topic), while increasing spending overall on the Defense Dep't. That means more useless SDI crap, and stuff we don't need, but the contractors who build the stuff are happy. 20% less for 1st responders, and 75% less for the COPS Program, hope you don't need a fireman or a cop to help you, and don't let me hear you complain when your state & local taxes go up to compensate. Sue voted for THOSE cuts, too.
Common sense? Two quotes from prominent GOP'rs that illustrate how out of touch with reality they are...
"You're doing a heck of a job, Brownie!"
"The insurgency is in it's last throes..."
'Nuff said...
PS- You left out something- Tom DeLay has NOT been convicted of anything...YET.
"The 19th Congressional District has overwhemingly voted for Republicans in the past for many reasons. Republicans as a whole believe in smaller government, lower taxes, national defense, and common sense."
Hmm, then why has the size of government actually grown in the last 6 years? (Unless by size of gov't, you actually mean controls on corporate malfeasance...) Lower taxes, well, yeah, a few hundred in a rebate, while Bill Gates and Paris Hilton get MAJOR rollbacks in their tax liability. They don't live in the 19th, although George Soros does. Guess what, he thinks the tax cuts are stupid, too. And $9B in givebacks to oil companies drilling for oil and making record profits on PUBLIC land? National defense- Blame it all on Clinton all you want, but 9/11 happened on W's watch, as did Katrina. George sat on his butt in a classroom during the first, and gave a fundraising speech and played the guitar in the second. I guess you didn't notice that the latest defense budget cuts spending on the troops themselves (which Sue voted FOR, to keep it on topic), while increasing spending overall on the Defense Dep't. That means more useless SDI crap, and stuff we don't need, but the contractors who build the stuff are happy. 20% less for 1st responders, and 75% less for the COPS Program, hope you don't need a fireman or a cop to help you, and don't let me hear you complain when your state & local taxes go up to compensate. Sue voted for THOSE cuts, too.
Common sense? Two quotes from prominent GOP'rs that illustrate how out of touch with reality they are...
"You're doing a heck of a job, Brownie!"
"The insurgency is in it's last throes..."
'Nuff said...
PS- You left out something- Tom DeLay has NOT been convicted of anything...YET.
# posted by : 11:24 AM
: 11:24 AM
Hmmm...for someone who admits that he doesn't even live in the 19th District, Mr. GOP seems awfully interested in this Congressional District. He even named his blog Orange County, NY, which seems very odd, given his current residence.
We only wish we had the time to keep track of a Congresswoman in a place we used to call home: scary Katherine Harris. You remember her? The Florida Secretary of State who Enroned the voter rolls for Bush in 2000. But since we no longer live there, we're stuck keeping an eye on Sue.
We only wish we had the time to keep track of a Congresswoman in a place we used to call home: scary Katherine Harris. You remember her? The Florida Secretary of State who Enroned the voter rolls for Bush in 2000. But since we no longer live there, we're stuck keeping an eye on Sue.
To expand on Walter Barrett's comment from before:
Mr. Gop says:
"The 19th Congressional District has overwhemingly voted for Republicans in the past for many reasons. Republicans as a whole believe in smaller government, lower taxes, national defense, and common sense."
But he neglects to mention that Sue Kelly has outspent her opponents to the tune of $5.296 million to $1.657 million since she first won in 1994. In the last 2 elections alone, Sue felt the need to spend over $2 million to her opponents' $80,000. It'd be laughable if it wasn't so sad and such a waste. And she didn't have the Republicans' corruption baggage dogging her those 2 elections, either.
I'm excited about this year's election because the Democrats clearly will not have a "sacrificial lamb" candidate in the 19th district this year. Sue Kelly--be afraid!
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Mr. Gop says:
"The 19th Congressional District has overwhemingly voted for Republicans in the past for many reasons. Republicans as a whole believe in smaller government, lower taxes, national defense, and common sense."
But he neglects to mention that Sue Kelly has outspent her opponents to the tune of $5.296 million to $1.657 million since she first won in 1994. In the last 2 elections alone, Sue felt the need to spend over $2 million to her opponents' $80,000. It'd be laughable if it wasn't so sad and such a waste. And she didn't have the Republicans' corruption baggage dogging her those 2 elections, either.
I'm excited about this year's election because the Democrats clearly will not have a "sacrificial lamb" candidate in the 19th district this year. Sue Kelly--be afraid!
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